Saint Lucia Meteorological Services

Date: 25th June, 2023
Forecaster: Maclean Jn Baptiste

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is fair.
Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 27°C or 81°F.
Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 27°C or 81°F.
Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east-southeast at 12 mph or 19 km/h.
Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 am today:
At Hewanorra Airport: nil.
Total rainfall for the month of June so far:
At Hewanorra Airport: 155.0 mm.

Sunset today: 6:35 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:38 am.

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
Winds will be blowing from between the east and east-southeast near 14 mph or 22 km/h.
Weather: Fair to partly cloudy skies, with a few isolated showers.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA
Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 8:13 am…Low at 2:50 pm.
Tides for Vieux Fort Bay: High at 9:20 am…Low at 4:17 pm.
Seas: Slight to moderate with waves 3 to 5 feet or 0.9 to 1.5 meters.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
Fair to occasionally cloudy skies, with brief scattered showers over the northern Windward Islands. Elsewhere, fair to partly cloudy skies, with a few light showers.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
Weak unstable conditions will continue to cause cloudiness and some showers over the northern Windward Islands today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will prevail elsewhere.

…Cindy gradually weakening as it moves northwestward…
At 5:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 20.3 degrees north, longitude 57.2 degrees west. Cindy is moving toward the northwest near 21 mph or 33 km/h, and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual decrease in forward speed, over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph or 85 km/h, with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Cindy could degenerate into a trough of low pressure by Tuesday.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

Forecaster: Lemuel O’Shaughnessy

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is fair.

Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is fair.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 28°C or 82°F.

Today’s maximum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 31°C or 88°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 15 mph or 24 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 pm today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 1.0 mm.         At GFL Charles Airport: 1.4 mm.

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 155.0 mm.       At GFL Charles Airport: 72.3 mm.

Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.            Sunset tomorrow: 6:35 pm.   

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from the east near 14 mph or 22 km/h.

Weather: Mostly fair skies.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 8:41 pm… Low at 2:13 am.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 9:48 pm… Low at 3:40 am.

Seas: Slight to moderate with waves 2 to 5 feet or 0.6 to 1.5 meters.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Generally fair skies.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Relatively dry and stable conditions will prevail over the Lesser Antilles during the the forecast period.

…Tropical Storm Cindy not expected to affect the Lesser Antilles…

At 5:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 17.8 degrees north, longitude 54.7 degrees west. Cindy is moving quickly toward the northwest near 21 mph or 33 km/h and this motion is expected to continue, with a gradual decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, the system is expected to pass well to the northeast of the norther Leeward Islands through early next week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph or 95 km/h with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast over the next several days, and Cindy could degenerate into a trough of low pressure by the mid next week.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the tropical Atlantic during the next seven days.

Date: 24^th June, 2023

Forecaster: Webster Gajadhar

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy with light haze.

Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is cloudy and hazy.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 31°C or 88°F.

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 25°C or 77°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 17 mph or 28 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 8:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 1.5 mm.         At GFL Charles Airport: 1.4 mm.

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 155.0 mm.       At GFL Charles Airport: 72.3 mm.

Sunset today: 6:35 pm.               Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.     

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from the east near 14 mph or 22 km/h.

Weather: Fair to occasionally cloudy skies, with a few isolated showers.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: Low at 2:13 pm…High at 8:41 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   Low at 3:40 pm…High at 9:48 pm.

Seas: Slight to moderate with waves 3 to 5 feet or 0.9 to 1.5 meters.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Fair to occasionally cloudy skies, with widely scattered showers.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Moisture and instability lingering over the Eastern Caribbean following the passage of Tropical Storm Bret, will cause occasional cloudy periods with some scattered showers over the region during the forecast period.

…Tropical Storm Cindy not expected to affect the Lesser Antilles…

At 11:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 16.4 degrees north, longitude 53.3 degrees west. Cindy is moving toward the northwest near 20 mph or 31 km/h and this motion is expected to continue over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to remain well east and northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph or 95 km/h with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast over the next several days.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 6 mph or 9 km/h.

6:00 am Weather Report

Date: 24^th June, 2023

Forecaster: Glenn Antoine

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 26°C or 79°F.

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 25° C or 77°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 17 mph or 28 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 72.1 mm.       

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 155.0 mm.      

Sunset today: 6:35 pm.          Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.     

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from the east near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

Weather: Fair to occasionally cloudy skies, with a few isolated showers.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 7:16 am …Low at 2:13 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 8:23 am …Low at 3:40 pm.

Seas: Slight to moderate with waves 3 to 5 feet or 0.9 to 1.5 meters

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Fair to occasionally cloudy skies, with widely scattered showers.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

…Cindy strengthens slightly while moving west-northwestward…

At 5:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 14.6 degrees north, longitude 51.2 degrees west. Cindy is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph or 24 km/h. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to remain well east and northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week.

Maximum sustained winds have increased near 60 mph or 95 km/h with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast into early next week. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 6 mph or 9 km/h.

6:00 pm Weather Report

Date: 23^rd June, 2023

Forecaster: Emmanuel Descartes

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is overcast with light rain.

Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is overcast with light rain.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 27°C or 81°F.

Today’s maximum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 28° C or 82°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 17 mph or 28 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 pm today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 71.1 mm.        At GFL Charles Airport: 24.3 mm 

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 154.0 mm.       At GFL Charles Airport: 70.9 mm

Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.            Sunset tomorrow: 6:35 pm.       

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the east northeast and east near 18 mph or

30 km/h.

Weather: Generally cloudy with scattered light to moderate

         showers and a chance of isolated thunderstorms.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 7:59 pm… Low at 12:57 am.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 9:06 pm….Low at 2:24 am.

Seas: Mderate to locally rough with waves 5 to 7 feet or 1.5 to 2.1 meters

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution due to above normal seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Generally cloudy with scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the Windward Islands. Elsewhere partly cloudy skies with a few scattered showers.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Moisture and instability trailing Tropical Storm Bret will generate some cloudiness and shower activity mainly over the windward islands during the forecast period.

…. Tropical Storm Cindy pauses its intensification….

At 5:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 13.3 degrees north, longitude 49.3 degrees west. Cindy is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph or 26 km/h and this general motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to remain well east and northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph or 85 km/h with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, followed by a gradual weakening afterwards. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

Forecaster: Lemuel O’Shaughnessy

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is overcast with light rain.

Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is overcast.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 26°C or 79°F.

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 23°C or 73°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 20 mph or 31 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 8:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 72.9 mm.        At GFL Charles Airport: 24.3 mm 

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 153.5 mm.       At GFL Charles Airport: 70.9 mm

Sunset today: 6:34 pm.                Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.      

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the east northeast and east near 23 mph or 37 km/h, with a few gusts.

Weather: Cloudy to overcast at times with some scattered light to moderate showers and a chance of isolated thunderstorms, an improvement is expected by afternoon.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: Low at 1:35 pm… High at 7:59 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 7:34 am….Low at 3:02 pm.

Seas: Locally rough to rough with waves 7 to 11 feet or 2.1 to 3.4 meters subsiding to 6 to 8 feet or 1.8 to 2.4 meters in the afternoon.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise extreme caution due to rough seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Cloudy to overcast with periods of rain, moderate to heavy showers, and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the Windward Islands. Elsewhere partly cloudy skies with a few scattered showers.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

…..Tropical Storm warning has been discontinued for Saint Lucia…..

At 8:00 am today, the centre of Tropical Storm Bret was located near Latitude 13.3 degrees north, Longitude 63.6 degrees west or about 210 miles or 338 kilometers west southwest of St Lucia. Bret is moving toward the west near 18 mph or 30 km/h and this general motion is expected to continue through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Bret will continue moving westward away from the Windward Islands and across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph or 95 km/h, with higher gusts. Weakening is anticipated over the next couple of days, and the system is expected to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea by Saturday night or Sunday.

…. Tropical Storm Cindy Gradually Strengthening….

At 11:00 pm last night Tropical Depression Four developed into Tropical Storm Cindy. At 5:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 12.1 degrees north, longitude 46.9 degrees west. Cindy is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph or 24 km/h and this general motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to remain well east and northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph or 75 km/h with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

Date: 22^nd June, 2023

Forecaster: Webster Gajadhar

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy and hazy with light showers.

Present weather at GFl Charles Airport is partly cloudy and hazy.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 27°C or 81°F.

Today’s maximum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 31°C or 88°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east-norteast at 32 mph or 52 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 pm today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 2.3 mm.         At GFL Charles Airport: 1.2 mm  

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 82.9 mm.        At GFL Charles Airport: 46.6 mm

Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.            Sunset tomorrow: 6:34 pm.     

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the northeast and southeast near 40 mph or 65 km/h, with gusts up to hurricane-storm force winds late tonight into early morning.

Weather: Cloudy to overcast with periods of rain, moderate to heavy showers, gusty winds and thunderstorms tonight into tomorrow.

All preparations to protect and safeguard lives and property should have been completed and persons should remain indoors during the passage of the system.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 7:19 pm…Low at 11:55 pm…High at 6:27 am.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 8:26 pm…Low at 01:22 am…High at 7:34 am.

Seas: Rough to very rough with waves 10 to 16 feet or 3.0 to 4.9 meters.

Small craft operators should remain in port and preparations to protect and safeguard lives and property should have been completed. Residents and sea bathers should stay away from beaches and coastal areas due to life-threatening surf and rip current conditions generated by Tropical Storm Bret.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Cloudy to overcast with periods of rain, moderate to heavy showers, gusty winds and thunderstorms mainly over the central Windward Islands.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

.....Hurricane watch is in effect for Saint Lucia.....

.....Tropical Storm warning remains in effect for Saint Lucia.....

At 5:00 pm today, the centre of Tropical Storm Bret was located near Latitude 13.4 degrees north, Longitude 59.6 degrees west or about 94 miles or 151 kilometers east of St Lucia. Bret is moving toward the west near 16 mph or 26 km/h and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Bret is expected to move near Saint Lucia and across the central Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight, and then move westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph or 100 km/h, with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today while Bret approaches the Lesser Antilles. Gradual weakening is anticipated over the next couple of days, and the system is likely to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea on Sunday. Interests in Saint Lucia and the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

…. Tropical Depression Four expected to become a tropical storm tonight or early tomorrow…

At 5:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Depression Four was located near latitude 11.5 degrees north, longitude 44.0 degrees west. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph or 22 km/h. This general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to remain well east of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph or 55 km/h with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the system is likely to become a tropical storm tonight or early Friday. Interests the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 10 mph or 17 km/h.

5:00 PM Thurs June 22 2023

…BRET VERY NEAR BARBADOS…

…HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER

ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT…

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Saint Lucia.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Saint Lucia.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within the next 24.

At 5:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 59.6 West or about 94 miles or 151 Kilometres east southeast of Saint Lucia.  Bret is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Bret is expected to move near Saint Lucia and across the central Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight, and then move westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h), with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated over the next couple of days, and the system is likely to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

Repeating Bret’s position: 13.4 north Lat…long 59.6 west.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe southward to St. Vincent  and the Grenadines, including Barbados. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding in flood prone areas.

Swells generated by Bret are expected to affect portions of the Lesser Antilles through Friday.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

All preparations to protect and safeguard lives and property should have been completed and persons should remain indoors during the passage of the system.

Next advisory at 8:00 pm local time.

Forecaster: Webster Gajadhar

12:00 Noon Weather Report

Date: 22^nd June, 2023

Forecaster: Emmanuel Descartes

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is partly cloudy and hazy.

Present weather at GFl Charles Airport is partly cloudy and hazy.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 31°C or 88°F.

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 28°C or 82°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the easterly at 32 mph or 52 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 8:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: Nil.  At GFL Charles Airport: 4.7 mm 

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 80.6 mm.   At GFL Charles Airport: 46.6 mm

Sunset today: 6:34 pm.          Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.      

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the northeast and southeast near 32 mph or 52 km/h, with tropical-storm force winds later tonight.

Weather: Partly cloudy to cloudy and hazy with a few scattered showers at first, becoming cloudy to overcast with periods of rain, moderate to heavy showers, gusty winds and thunderstorms from this evening into tomorrow.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are urged to exercise extreme caution to protect and safeguard lives and property.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: Low at 12:57 pm… High at 6:40 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   Low at 2:24 pm… High at 8:26  pm.

Seas: Moderate with waves 4 to 6 feet or 1.2 to 1.8 metres in the Caribbean Sea and locally rough with waves 7 to 11 feet or 2.1 to 3.4 metres in the Atlantic Ocean, during today. From tonight seas will be rough to very rough with waves 10 to 16 feet or 3.0 to 4.9 meters.

Small craft operators are advised to remain in port and secure property. Residents and seabathers are also advised to stay away from beaches and coastal areas due to stormy conditions generated by Tropical Storm Bret.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Partly cloudy and hazy with a few scattered showers at first, becoming cloudy to overcast with periods of rain, moderate to heavy showers, gusty winds and thunderstorms from afternoon.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

.....Hurricane watch is in effect for Saint Lucia.....

.....Tropical Storm warning remains in effect for Saint Lucia.....

At 11:00 am today, the centre of Tropical Storm Bret was located near Latitude 13.8 degrees north, Longitude 57.7 degrees west or about 187 miles or 302 kilometers east of St Lucia. Bret is moving toward the west near 14 mph or 22 km/h and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Bret is expected to approach Saint Lucia and the Lesser Antilles today, move across the Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight, and then move westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph or 110 km/h, with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today while Bret approaches the Lesser Antilles. Weakening is expected to begin tonight or Friday after Bret passes the Lesser Antilles and the system is likely to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea by Saturday night or early Sunday.Interests in Saint Lucia and the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

…. Depression Four moving west northwest Central Tropical Atlantic…

At 5:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression Four was located near latitude 11.3 degrees north, longitude 42.9 degrees west. The depression is moving toward the west northwest near 15 mph or 24 km/h. This motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Sunday. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to remain east of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph or 55 km/h with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm soon. Interests the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

Another tropical wave located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 8 mph or 13 km/h.

Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 14

11:00 AM Thurs June 22 2023

…BRET NEARING THE LESSER ANTILLES…

…EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT…

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Saint Lucia.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Saint Lucia.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within the next 24.

At 11:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 57.7 West or about 187 miles or 302 Kilometres east of Saint Lucia.  Bret is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Bret is expected to approach the Lesser Antilles today, move across the Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight, and then move westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h), with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today while Bret approaches the Lesser Antilles. Weakening is expected to begin tonight or Friday after Bret passes the Lesser Antilles and the system is likely to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea by Saturday night or early Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).

Repeating Bret’s position: 13.8 north Lat…long 57.7 west.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe southward to St. Vincent  and the Grenadines, including Barbados. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding in flood prone areas.

Next advisory at 2:00 pm local time.

Forecaster: Emmanuel Descartes