Author: Saint Lucia Met Office

ADVISORY NUMBER 6

TROPICAL STORM ELSA

5:00 pm                                                                                       01^st July, 2021

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT LUCIA

Saint Lucia expected to begin experiencing tropical storm conditions within the next 12 hours.

At 5:00 pm today the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 11.2 degrees north, longitude 53.8 degrees west or about 585 miles or 942 kilometers east-southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph or 75 km/h, with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles or 150 kilometers from the center.

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving towards the west northwest near 29 mph or 46 km/h. An increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia or over the Windward Islands on Friday and move into the Caribbean Sea late Friday.

Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches or 76 to 152 mm with maximum totals of 10 inches or 254 mm across the Windward Islands on Friday.

Tropical Storm warnings remains in effect for Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Barbados.  Tropical storm watches are in effect for Grenada and its dependencies.

The Saint Lucia Meteorological Services will continue to closely monitor the progress of this system and the next advisory will be issued at 8:00 pm.

Vigil Saltibus

Meteorologist I

Saint Lucia Meteorological Services

12:00 noon Weather Report

Date: 01^st July, 2021

Forecaster: Avlon Charlery

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is  partly cloudy and hazy.

Present weather at GFL Charles is Cloudy and hazy.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 30°C or 86°F. 

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 27°C or 81°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 26 mph or 43 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 8:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 2.0 mm           At GFL Charles:9.0 mm

Total rainfall for the month of June:

At Hewanorra Airport: 74.5 mm          At GFL Charles: 169.7 mm 

Sunset today: 6:36 pm                Sunrise tomorrow: 5:39 am

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the east and east-southeast near 22 mph or 35 km/h, with a few gusts. The winds speeds are expected to gradually increase as the center of Tropical Storm Elsa gets closer to the islands.

Weather: Today, partly cloudy and hazy skies, with a few showers. From late tonight, showers, most of which will be heavy, and thunderstorms.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are advised to exercise extreme caution.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: Low at 3:10 pm… High at 09:45 pm

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   Low at 4:37 pm… High at 10:52 pm

Seas: Locally rough with waves 6 to 8 feet or 1.8 to 2.4 metres.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution due to brisk winds and rough seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Fair to partly cloudy skies and hazy with scattered showers. From late tonight, over the southern Windward Islands, showers, most of which will be heavy, with gusty winds and thunderstorms.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Tropical Storm Elsa will begin to affect the islands from early Friday morning.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT LUCIA.

… TROPICAL STORM ELSA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE…

At 11:00 am today the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 10.1 N degrees north, longitude 51.4 degrees west or about 700 miles or 1130 kilometers east-southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph or 75 km/h, with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving towards the west near 28 mph or 44 km/h. An even faster motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia on Friday and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 15 mph or 24 km/h.

The alert level at the La Soufriere volcano in Saint Vincent remains at Orange. Interests in Saint Lucia and the south-eastern Caribbean region are advised to continue monitoring official sources for updates.

ADVISORY NUMBER 4

TROPICAL STORM ELSA

11:00 am                                                                                                01^st July, 2021

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT LUCIA

Tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

At 11:00 am today the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 10.1 degrees north, longitude 51.4 degrees west or about 700 miles or 1130 kilometers east-southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph or 75 km/h, with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles or 150 kilometers from the center.

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving towards the west near 28 mph or 44 km/h. An even faster motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia or over the Windward Islands on Friday and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday.

Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches or 76 to 152 mm with maximum totals of 10 inches or 254 mm across the Windward Islands on Friday.

Tropical Storm warnings are also in effect for Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Barbados.  Tropical storm watches are in effect for Guadeloupe and Grenada and its dependencies.

The Saint Lucia Meteorological Services will continue to closely monitor the progress of this system and the next advisory will be issued at 2:00 pm.

Avlon Charlery

Forecaster

Saint Lucia Meteorological Services

8:00 am                                                                                           01^st July, 2021

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT LUCIA

Tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

At 8:00 am today the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 9.6 degrees north, longitude 50.2 degrees west or about 780 miles or 1255 kilometers east-southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph or 65 km/h, with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles or 165 kilometers from the center.

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving towards the west near 25 mph or 41 km/h. An even faster motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia or over the Windward Islands on Friday and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday.

Elsa is expected to produce tropical storm force winds up to near 60 mph or 96 km/h and rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches or 76 to 152 mm with maximum totals of 8 inches or 203 mm across the Windward Islands and Barbados on Friday.

Tropical Storm warnings are also in effect for Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Barbados.  Tropical storm watches are in effect for Guadeloupe and Grenada and its dependencies.

The Saint Lucia Meteorological Services will continue to closely monitor the progress of this system and the next advisory will be issued at 11:00 am.

Webster Gajadhar

Forecaster

Saint Lucia Meteorological Services

Forecaster: Webster Gajadhar

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy with light showers.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 28°C or 82°F. 

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 26°C or 79°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 23 mph or 37 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 2.2 mm.   

Total rainfall for the month of June:

At Hewanorra Airport: 74.5 mm.  

Sunset today: 6:36 pm.                Sunrise tomorrow: 5:39 am.

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the east and east-southeast near 22 mph or 35 km/h, with a few gusts.

Weather: Partly cloudy to cloudy, with some scattered showers and a chance isolated thunderstorms.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are advised to remain vigilant.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 8:48 am…Low at 3:10 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 9:55 am…Low at 4:37 pm.

Seas: Moderate to locally rough with waves 5 to 7 feet or 1.5 to 2.1 metres.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution due to brisk winds and above normal seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Generally cloudy, with scattered showers and possibly isolated thunderstorms.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Moist and unstable conditions trailing a tropical wave will continue to cause cloudiness, showers and possibly isolated thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles during the next 24 hours. 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT LUCIA.

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ELSA…

At 5:00 am today the centre of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 9.4 degrees north, longitude 48.8 degrees west or about 865 miles or 1390 kilometres east-southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph or 65 km/h.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles or 165 kilometres from the centre. The system is expected to produce tropical storm winds up to near 60 mph or 96 km/h and rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches or 76 to 152 mm with maximum totals of 8 inches or 203 mm across the Windward Islands and Barbados on Friday. 

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving towards the west near 25 mph or 41 km/h. An even faster motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia or over the Windward Islands on Friday and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night.

Tropical Storm warnings are also in effect for Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Barbados.  A tropical storm watch is in effect for Guadeloupe.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 15 mph or 24 km/h.

The alert level at the La Soufriere volcano in Saint Vincent remains at Orange. Interests in Saint Lucia and the Caribbean region are advised to continue monitoring official sources for updates.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ELSA

5:00 am                                                                                         01^st July, 2021

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT LUCIA

Tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

At 5:00 am today the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 9.4 degrees north, longitude 48.8 degrees west or about 865 miles or 1390 kilometers east-southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph or 65 km/h.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles or 165 kilometers from the center.

Tropical Storm Elsa is moving towards the west near 25 mph or 41 km/h. An even faster motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia or over the Windward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night.

Elsa is expected to produce tropical storm winds up to near 60 mph or 96 km/h and rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches or 76 to 152 mm with maximum totals of 8 inches or 203 mm across the Windward Islands and Barbados on Friday.

Tropical Storm warnings are also in effect for Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Barbados.  A tropical storm watch is in effect for Guadeloupe.

The Saint Lucia Meteorological Services will continue to closely monitor the progress of this system and the next advisory will be issued at 8:00 am.

Webster Gajadhar

Forecaster

Saint Lucia Meteorological Services

11:00 pm                                                                                           30^th June , 2021

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SAINT LUCIA

A tropical storm warning has been issued for Saint Lucia, with effect from 11:00 pm today.

Tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

At 11:00 pm today the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 9.6 degrees north, longitude 46.3 degrees west or about 1020 miles or 1645 kilometers east southeast of Saint Lucia.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph or 55 km/h.  Strengthening is forecast and the tropical depression is expected to become a tropical storm early Thursday before reaching the Windward Islands.

Tropical Depression Five is moving towards the west near 23 mph or 37 km/h. An even faster motion to the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the system will pass near Saint Lucia on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night.

Tropical Storm warnings are in effect for Saint Lucia, Martinique and Barbados.  Tropical storm watches are in effect for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Guadeloupe.

The Saint Lucia Meteorological Services will continue to closely monitor the progress of this system and another statement will be issued at 5:00 am.

Webster Gajadhar

Forecaster

Saint Lucia Meteorological Services

6:00 pm Weather Report
Date: 30th June, 2021
Forecaster: E. Francis

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy with showers nearby.
Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is overcast with light rain.
Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 27°C or 81°F.
Today’s maximum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 29°C or 84°F.
Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 30 mph or 48 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 pm today:
At Hewanorra Airport: 3.2 mm. At GFL Charles Airport: 16.0 mm.
Total rainfall for the month of June so far:
At Hewanorra Airport: 72.5 mm. At GFL Charles Airport: 164.7 mm.

Sunrise tomorrow: 5:39 am Sunset tomorrow: 6:36 pm

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
Winds will be blowing from between the east and east-southeast near 24 mph or 39 km/h, with occasional gusts.
Weather: Generally cloudy skies, with some moderate to heavy showers, periods of rain, brisk winds and isolated thunderstorms.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are advised
to exercise caution.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA
Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 08:59 pm… Low at 2:48 am.
Tides for Vieux Fort Bay: High at 10:06 pm… Low at 4:15 am.
Seas: Moderate to locally rough with waves 5 to 7 feet or 1.5 to 2.1 metres.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution due to
brisk winds and rough seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
Generally cloudy skies, with some moderate to heavy showers, periods of rain, brisk winds and isolated thunderstorms.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
A strong tropical wave will continue to generate cloudy skies, showers, periods of rain, brisk winds and thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles during the forecast period. Significant development of this system is no longer expected while it moves quickly westward across the Caribbean Sea.

THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE ATLANTIC BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED…
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA.

At 5:00 pm today, the disturbance was centred near latitude 9.6 North, longitude 43.7 West or about 1195 miles or 1920 kilometres east of St Lucia. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph or 33 km/h and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over St Lucia and portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph or 55 km/h with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and the disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or on Thursday.

Tropical storm watches issued for portions of the Lesser Antilles…

The Meteorological Service of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Barbados and St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

The Meteorological Service of St. Lucia has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Lucia.

The Government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Martinique.

Another tropical wave located over the Eastern Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

The alert level at the La Soufriere volcano in Saint Vincent remains at Orange.
Interests in Saint Lucia and the Caribbean region are advised to continue monitoring official sources for updates.

12:00 noon Weather Report

Date: 30^th June, 2021

Forecaster: Vigil Saltibus

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy with light rain.

Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is cloudy with light showers.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 27°C or 81°F. 

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 25°C or 77°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east-southeast at 28 mph or

44 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 8:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 3.7 mm.    At GFL Charles Airport: 12.0 mm.

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 72.5 mm.   At GFL Charles Airport: 160.7 mm.

Sunset today: 6:36 pm          Sunrise tomorrow: 5:39 am

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the east and east-southeast near 23 mph or 37 km/h, with occasional gusts.

Weather: Generally cloudy and windy with some moderate to heavy showers and rain as well as a chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are advised to exercise caution.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: Low at 2:25 pm… High at 08:59 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   Low at 3:52 pm… High at 10:06 pm.

Seas: Moderate to locally rough with waves 5 to 7 feet or 1.5 to 2.1 metres.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution due to

brisk winds and rough seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Cloudy to overcast skies with moderate to heavy showers, periods of rain, brisk winds and scattered thunderstorms.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

An active tropical wave, together with a low pressure centre will generate  cloudy to overcast skies, scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles during the forecast period.  Significant development of this system is unlikely while it moves quickly west near 26 mph or 43 km/h.

  Further east, a second active tropical wave associated with a low pressure area, is located over the central Tropical Atlantic. The system moving westward near 20 mph or 31 km/h and expected to produce heavy showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Islands, from Friday into Saturday. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development and this system may be at least a tropical depression by the time it gets to the islands.

The alert level at the La Soufriere volcano in Saint Vincent remains at Orange.

Interests in Saint Lucia and the Caribbean region are advised to continue monitoring official sources for updates.

6:00 am Weather Report

Date: 30^th June, 2021

Forecaster: Avlon Charlery

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is partly cloudy.

Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 26°C or 79°F. 

Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 25°C or 77°F.

Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the east at 15 mph or 24 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 2:00 am today:

At Hewanorra Airport: 3.5 mm.        

Total rainfall for the month of June so far:

At Hewanorra Airport: 72.3 mm.  

Sunset today: 6:35 pm          Sunrise tomorrow: 5:40 am

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Winds will be blowing from between the east and east-southeast near 23 mph or 37 km/h, with occasional gusts.

Weather: Generally cloudy skies with some moderate to heavy showers and   isolated thunderstorms.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are advised to exercise caution.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA

Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 7:44 am… Low at 2:25 pm.

Tides for Vieux Fort Bay:   High at 8:51 am… Low at 3:52 pm.

Seas: Moderate to locally rough with waves 5 to 7 feet or 1.5 to 2.1 metres.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution due to brisk winds and rough seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES

Cloudy to overcast skies with moderate to heavy showers, brisk winds and isolated thunderstorms.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

Moisture and instability associated with a tropical wave, together with a low pressure centre will cause cloudiness, showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles. This system is a few hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving westward near 23 mph or 37 km/h. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later this week.

A second tropical wave located over the central Tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 20 mph or 31 km/h. This system is expected to produce heavy showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Islands, from Thursday night into Friday. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development. There is a medium chance that this system may be at least a tropical depression by the time it gets to the islands. 

The alert level at the La Soufriere volcano in Saint Vincent remains at Orange. Interests in Saint Lucia and the South-Eastern Caribbean region are advised to continue monitoring official sources for updates.