Tropical Storm Bret advisory #14

Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 14

11:00 AM Thurs June 22 2023

…BRET NEARING THE LESSER ANTILLES…

…EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT…

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Saint Lucia.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Saint Lucia.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within the next 24.

At 11:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 57.7 West or about 187 miles or 302 Kilometres east of Saint Lucia.  Bret is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Bret is expected to approach the Lesser Antilles today, move across the Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight, and then move westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h), with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today while Bret approaches the Lesser Antilles. Weakening is expected to begin tonight or Friday after Bret passes the Lesser Antilles and the system is likely to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea by Saturday night or early Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).

Repeating Bret’s position: 13.8 north Lat…long 57.7 west.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe southward to St. Vincent  and the Grenadines, including Barbados. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding in flood prone areas.

Next advisory at 2:00 pm local time.

Forecaster: Emmanuel Descartes